Welcome to WeatherTiger's Hurricane Watch! I’m Dr. Ryan Truchelut, a hurricane forecaster and researcher at WeatherTiger. I’ve been forecasting Florida’s hurricane threats professionally for over 20 years and have been a hurricane analyst for the USA Today Network for the last 10 years.
The Hurricane Watch is a newsletter focused on keeping you safe from hurricanes and helping you better understand the science of what makes these ferocious storms tick. I pay special attention to hurricane threats to Florida, but carefully monitor the whole U.S. coast and Atlantic Ocean.
Stay ahead of the storm.
Why become a paid subscriber? In addition to earning my eternal gratitude, your support comes with a whole passel of exclusive benefits:
An exclusive tropical forecast briefing issued every Monday and Friday from June to early November. Tuesday and Thursday updates are also in this format from mid-August to late October or whenever there is any indication of a potential U.S. threat, and are in the form of a daily risk synopsis on Substack Chat from early June through mid-August.
All of our weekly long-form analysis columns (usually out Wednesdays).
All of our daily in-depth forecasts and video discussions during hurricane threats, including subscriber-only morning briefings, plus live landfall coverage,
Exclusive expanded seasonal outlooks, including access to WeatherTiger’s real-time seasonal ACE forecast modeling and U.S. hurricane landfall risk modeling, updated daily between early May and mid-October.
Exclusive Florida landfall hurricane risk models, updated in late May, July, and September.
A monthly off-season newsletter featuring WeatherTiger’s 3-month temperature and precipitation forecast for Florida, 6-month ENSO model output, and news and notes from the weather world.
The exclusive ability to comment and ask questions on posts and create threads on WeatherTiger’s Substack Chat.
For Pro subscribers only, access to machine-readable probabilistic output from our storm count and landfall count modeling, sent to you daily in a format ready to be used for quantitative risk management and investment decisions. Pro subscribers also get an exclusive monthly ENSO report and a direct pipeline to future modeling projects under development. (Drop me a line directly at ryan@weathertiger.com for more about this service if you have questions.)
Free subscribers will receive the weekly column, basic seasonal outlooks, selected storm coverage, and access to WeatherTiger’s real-time seasonal ACE model between late May and late October.
Expert hurricane analysis. Delivered.
In Irma, Michael, Dorian, Ian, Idalia, Helene, and Milton, WeatherTiger forecasts kept our cool and helped readers navigate the storm safely. To see our how I kept WeatherTiger’s subscribers informed in the very worst of what nature has to offer, read our forecasts from Hurricane Ian.
In short, the WeatherTiger’s Hurricane Watch brings the forecasts you need to stay safe, plus ample dad humor when applicable, straight to your inbox. Sign up today!
For more information on WeatherTiger’s forensic meteorology services and agricultural forecasting, please visit weathertiger.com or just drop me a line at ryan@weathertiger.com.
Fulfillment policy
You can cancel your subscription at any time through the dashboard on your Substack account—read a walkthrough for that process here. If you’ve already been billed and would like to cancel, reach out to me directly via email within seven days of the charge for a pro-rated refund.
