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Real-time 2024 Atlantic hurricane season projections

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Real-time 2024 Atlantic hurricane season projections

Seasonal hurricane forecast models, including for U.S. landfall risks, updated daily.

Dr. Ryan Truchelut
May 13, 2024
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Real-time 2024 Atlantic hurricane season projections

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WeatherTiger’s seasonal hurricane model projections update daily between late May and mid-October. Bookmark this page and check back often for the latest guidance. Sign up free for weekly columns and become a supporter to get exclusive daily tropical briefings, real-time U.S. landfall risk modeling, and much more.

Real-time Hurricane Season Activity Model (ACE)

Current update: 18 October 2024, 12 p.m. ***Final update for 2024 hurricane season***

Welcome to WeatherTiger’s real-time modeling page. Live seasonal ACE guidance is freely available below. Real-time U.S. and Florida landfall risk models will remain paid subscriber exclusives through the season. For model methodology details, read our May seasonal outlook. Model output will be updated Sunday to Friday, usually in the afternoon.

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Final ACE projection: Most likely value 158 units, 50% chance between 155-164. Current value as of 10/18 is 141.

Real-time U.S. Landfall Model (Subscribers only)

Current update: 18 October 2024, 12 p.m. ***Final update for 2024 hurricane season***

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© 2024 Dr. Ryan Truchelut
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