Real-time 2023 Atlantic hurricane season projections

Seasonal hurricane forecast models, including for U.S. landfall risks, updated daily.

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Real-time Hurricane Season Activity Model (ACE)

Current update: 5 June 2023, 2 p.m. Next update: 6 June 2023.

For model performance and methodology details, read our latest seasonal outlook write-up. Model output will be updated each day (other than Saturdays), usually in the afternoon. Real-time probabilities for U.S. hurricane landfall risks are below for paid supporters.

Real-time U.S. Landfall Model (Subscribers only)

Current update: 5 June 2023, 2 p.m. Next update: 6 June 2023.