14 Comments
Oct 9Liked by Dr. Ryan Truchelut

P.S., Ryan (aka Dr. Hurricane), you are doing a great thing for your fellow Americans by providing guidance and information that perhaps, may save many lives. For that, I am most grateful. Keep those LaCroix flavors close at hand @ WT World HQ's and keep hydrated through this awful mess.

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Thanks, Sean. I'm so sorry that you have had to evacuate, but you've made the right choice. I doubt the track slips south of Venice, so unfortunately that surge is coming, deeper even than the pile of empty LCX cans at WeatherTiger World HQ right now.

Stay safe and hoping for the best for you, my friend.

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You’re the best, Ryan. Keep stacking up those towers of LaCroix cans. It’s gonna be a rough roll through Milton.

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Oct 8Liked by Dr. Ryan Truchelut

Great job Ryan. I for one, and my family and friends really appreciate your hard work. Mark Hoffman

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Thank you. Stay safe, Mark.

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Oct 8Liked by Dr. Ryan Truchelut

Ryan, thank you once again for your invaluable insights. We live in Venice, FL. We were waffling about evacuating last night until better intelligence from you and the NHC. Got hit with a mandatory evacuation this morning. Bugged out to West Palm and were fortunate to find a hotel room. Praying for shear to knock the wind impacts down below Cat 3 but the surge will be unavoidable and absolutely catastrophic to our area. How odd to have a storm form in the southern Gulf and track east?

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Oct 8Liked by Dr. Ryan Truchelut

Dr. Truchelut, I well recall Charley. If winds can be less than Charley (2004), I'd be delighted. I'd always supposed some twisters or even a formal if smaller tornado went through Winter Park w/ Charley. What more do you forecast for Orlando Metro tornadic activity? Thanks.

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The damage to Winter Park was 100% Charley's eyewall. It was what an eyewall looks like when you really go through one. There are tornadoes in the outer bands of a hurricane (and some slight chance of them in the bands this time), but not generally within the storm's inner core.

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Thank you. I didn't realize we were in the eyewall w/ Charley. What a doozy that was. The past two weeks of storms have coincided w/ our study of Emily Wilson's translation of The Odyssey. Life can be funny that way. And I recommend her 2018 translation.

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https://www.weather.gov/images/tbw/HurricaneCharley/charley_fema_windswath.png

Yep. Straight out of the Gulf to Orlando.

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Thank you.

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Hi Ryan. Excellent work updating and explaining! I thought for some reason you were going to do updates every half hour. Am I looking in the wrong spot? Thanks, Scott

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Thanks for the update Ryan. I've been following the satellite images and there is something I've not seen before. There is a cloud formation leading Milton with a clockwise rotation, like a offensive lineman leading a running back. What is it? Is it normal and I just never noticed before?

We're in PSL and aren't leaving, no risk of surge although we're next to the C-23 at 26.5' . . . woke up this morning to no power in my office or internet . . . no generator running and noticed my coffee pot was working. We have a blown breaker, just for my office. I try not to look at things in a conspiratorial manner however, is the breaker telling me to head south for a couple of days :0

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