Sep 13, 2023Liked by Dr. Ryan Truchelut

Question: Given the size and duration of Lee, does that in effect cool however slightly a vast patch of the Western Atlantic thus resulting in cooler waters leading up to Florida and by implication lessening, however little, the potential for hurricanes for the remainder of the season?

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I would expect Lee to cool a 300-400 mile swath of the western Atlantic quite significantly, perhaps 1-3C. That definitely decreases the hurricane potential for the next 2-4 weeks in the upwelling region. Unfortunately I don't think it's much help to Florida as Lee's path is too far north to be on the approach to Florida. Idalia's "cool wake" in the eastern Gulf is now back to 30C, which is alarming.

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