14 Comments

Hi. Live in Punta Gorda. Evacuating tomorrow. Can you please address the actual definition of storm surge level? Everything I look at at from NHC references storm surge above mean sea level but then other graphics refer to feet above ground level. Clarification please. Thanks

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Details of NHC surge modeling are here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/surge/inundation/

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Thank you, thank you…a million times…thank you. God bless you for providing such excellent reports, as usual. Over here in Martin we’re going just a little bit crazy because of the unknown factor. I’m putting up the shutters; I don’t trust this thing.

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Prudent. Probably strongish TS gusts for you.

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Keeping Florida in sincere prayers…

Thank you - Ryan for sharing your expertise!

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I remember Wilma well- 6 wks w/ out power!! What fun but no storm damage - so thankful… Wilma was right before Halloween & Miami got a cold snap after Wilma passed…

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I just checked Google maps and there might be some signs of people evacuating. If I lived in Tampa Bay, I would take route 98 to Tallahassee; the interstates will be parking lots. An alternative would be alligator alley to Miami.

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I've seen the traffic is kicking off. Good to see evacuation orders being heeded. Also recommend the 98/Coastal Highway. Will also give you a good view of Cat 4 damage and validate your decision.

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What can the east coast of fl expect? Specifically Sebastian:Vero region. Still a hurricane? Cat? Thanks.

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TS force gusts most likely. Probably offshore winds so limited surge.

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NOAA Hurricane Center is down?

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Thank you for the updates. Where do you obtain that wind radii product from? I’ve only seen that output for storms covered by the JTWC.

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It's from the Naval Research Lab.

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Ah, thank you. I found it.

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