Hurricane season 2023 is a clash between El Nino and very warm water in the Atlantic. Find out what WeatherTiger's projections are for the year ahead, and what the chances are of U.S. and Florida hurricane landfalls during the season.
Thanks so much. We used to have a home on Cape San Blas and "yes" the bad weather used to always hit us there. THANKS FOR ALL YOU DO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
What is it with the Western end of St. George Island? Weather sems to "mostly" go East and West of this area? Is there something that causes this? I have been observing this since the 1970's.
I think the local factor in play for western SGI is that Cape San Blas and vicinity is a local maximum of storm activity in the summertime. The NW-SE oriented coast to the west and SW-NE oriented coast on the mainland to the east act to trigger seabreeze boundary collisions more easily, and outflow from those storms may cause the effect you suggest. In the cooler seasons, Gulf inflow of a marine layer keeps the severe storms mostly away from coastal/barrier island regions, which is why the tornado hotspot is in Alabama rather than the Panhandle. Just speculating, but hope these thoughts make sense with your observations.
Thanks so much. We used to have a home on Cape San Blas and "yes" the bad weather used to always hit us there. THANKS FOR ALL YOU DO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Hoping your info and forecasts show Naples area specially ….Really like your approach and ability to simplify so we understand!!
Dan Gillen
Thanks Dan! Hoping for a well-deserved quiet year in SW Florida. Lower odds of Gulf landfall in October in El Nino years is an encouraging sign.
What is it with the Western end of St. George Island? Weather sems to "mostly" go East and West of this area? Is there something that causes this? I have been observing this since the 1970's.
I think the local factor in play for western SGI is that Cape San Blas and vicinity is a local maximum of storm activity in the summertime. The NW-SE oriented coast to the west and SW-NE oriented coast on the mainland to the east act to trigger seabreeze boundary collisions more easily, and outflow from those storms may cause the effect you suggest. In the cooler seasons, Gulf inflow of a marine layer keeps the severe storms mostly away from coastal/barrier island regions, which is why the tornado hotspot is in Alabama rather than the Panhandle. Just speculating, but hope these thoughts make sense with your observations.