WeatherTiger has been doing real-time seasonal forecasting since 2022, and is still the sole source to update our predictions more than once a month, plus the only one to offer specific probabilities for U.S. hurricane landfall counts. So, if you’re looking for the freshest, most accurate, and most useful information on how the odds are stacking up for the season ahead in the ways that count most, you are in the right place.
Live seasonal ACE guidance is freely available below, while real-time U.S. and Florida landfall risk models will remain paid subscriber exclusives through the season. Raw model files are also available to Pro clients for the 2026 season, supporting quantitative financial decisions with machine-readable daily probabilistic output from our storm count and U.S. landfall count modeling. Sign up here for a WeatherTiger Pro account, or drop me a line at ryan@weathertiger.com with questions or to set up custom data delivery arrangements.
Real-time Hurricane Season Activity Model (Accumulated Cyclone Energy)
Current update: 15 September 2026.
For model methodology details, read our newly updated August seasonal outlook.
