WeatherTiger's Hurricane Watch

WeatherTiger's Hurricane Watch

Real-time 2025 Atlantic hurricane season projections

WeatherTiger's 2025 real-time seasonal models, including for U.S. landfall risks.

Dr. Ryan Truchelut's avatar
Dr. Ryan Truchelut
May 07, 2025
∙ Paid

WeatherTiger’s seasonal hurricane model projections update daily around noon between late May and October. Bookmark this page and check back for the latest, and sign up below for WeatherTiger’s daily newsletter.


Real-time Hurricane Season Activity Model (ACE)

Final update: 17 October 2025. Daily model updates have concluded for the 2025 season.

Welcome to WeatherTiger’s real-time modeling page. Live seasonal ACE guidance is freely available below. Real-time U.S. and Florida landfall risk models will remain paid subscriber exclusives through the season. For model methodology details, read our July/August seasonal outlook, including a discussion of U.S. landfall risks.

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Real-time U.S. Landfall Model (Subscribers only)

Current update: 30 September 2025. Live updates of the real-time U.S. ACE model have concluded for the season.

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