Hi: Great article as usual. However...if you're going to reference model names in the text, pls make sure you identify their corresponding acronyms in the legends on the graphs so it is not a chore to correlate them. Thx.
So, I kidded you last week, in good faith, about you hogging all the rain in the panhandle. At three this morning I heard and saw your payback, and it looks like it might keep giving. LOL
Being from Lubbock, Texas I never really paid much attention to hurricane forecasting and focused more on tornado's until Camille. I got some contract work for a company who made a ton of money in construction after the storm. The amazing part of the story, I stopped in Lubbock to visit my parents on the way to El Paso for that job. I was to meet the crew there on May 12, 1970 so I came a couple of days early. Got to go through the 1970 F5 and will tell you being on the ocean near a hurricane in a sailboat is far kinder than being six blocks from the path of a F5 and 300 mph winds. Before we decided the basement would be a good idea we saw a house across the street disassemble, at that point my Dad said it was time to run . . . my mother was already down there and Dad and I were trying to put cardboard over the lost windows, that interestingly were blown in when I closed the front door. Other than the windows, shingles, some 40+ year old elm trees we had minimal damage . . . one of only four houses remaining on our block. No one died but I heard some of the neighbors left Texas after that. The mess downtown was unbelievable that night, Mom wanted to see if her office was still okay, worried about thieves.
FWIW, since we moved to the Stuart area, I vote for ECMWF and have found it in real life to be much more accurate than all the rest.
Excellent! Thanks for taking the time to explain this. I always very much appreciate how you help us understand the complexities of weather forecasting, and not just focus on the storm at hand. I have learned so much from you! I’ve been sort of a weather geek most of my life, since a kid up in the Midwest when I relied on my Goldenbooks weather guide (yes…I’m that old!).
I used to be a NWS volunteer down here, but can’t get re-certified due to lack of training sessions available. So your informative video and reports are even more important now to me.
The weather down here is so exceptional (esp wth climate change), and sure involves some real studying if you are not trained in meteorology. One needs to do some deep diving sometimes to figure out what’s really going on. I love the challenge! Thanks, again.
Hi: Great article as usual. However...if you're going to reference model names in the text, pls make sure you identify their corresponding acronyms in the legends on the graphs so it is not a chore to correlate them. Thx.
Good point! I put this link in one of the captions, but here is the official NHC/Ovaltine decoder ring for model abbreviations:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/modelsummary.shtml?text=
Excellent article and video, going into my Save file. Thank you for sharing.
Thanks John!
So, I kidded you last week, in good faith, about you hogging all the rain in the panhandle. At three this morning I heard and saw your payback, and it looks like it might keep giving. LOL
Toldja!
Being from Lubbock, Texas I never really paid much attention to hurricane forecasting and focused more on tornado's until Camille. I got some contract work for a company who made a ton of money in construction after the storm. The amazing part of the story, I stopped in Lubbock to visit my parents on the way to El Paso for that job. I was to meet the crew there on May 12, 1970 so I came a couple of days early. Got to go through the 1970 F5 and will tell you being on the ocean near a hurricane in a sailboat is far kinder than being six blocks from the path of a F5 and 300 mph winds. Before we decided the basement would be a good idea we saw a house across the street disassemble, at that point my Dad said it was time to run . . . my mother was already down there and Dad and I were trying to put cardboard over the lost windows, that interestingly were blown in when I closed the front door. Other than the windows, shingles, some 40+ year old elm trees we had minimal damage . . . one of only four houses remaining on our block. No one died but I heard some of the neighbors left Texas after that. The mess downtown was unbelievable that night, Mom wanted to see if her office was still okay, worried about thieves.
FWIW, since we moved to the Stuart area, I vote for ECMWF and have found it in real life to be much more accurate than all the rest.
Excellent! Thanks for taking the time to explain this. I always very much appreciate how you help us understand the complexities of weather forecasting, and not just focus on the storm at hand. I have learned so much from you! I’ve been sort of a weather geek most of my life, since a kid up in the Midwest when I relied on my Goldenbooks weather guide (yes…I’m that old!).
I used to be a NWS volunteer down here, but can’t get re-certified due to lack of training sessions available. So your informative video and reports are even more important now to me.
The weather down here is so exceptional (esp wth climate change), and sure involves some real studying if you are not trained in meteorology. One needs to do some deep diving sometimes to figure out what’s really going on. I love the challenge! Thanks, again.